ESPN NFL Week 4 Expert Picks & Predictions (2024)

ESPN analysts Tim McManus, John Keim, Jenna Laine, Michael Rothstein, Eric Moody, Jamison Hensley, and Seth Walder have released their NFL Week 4 expert picks and predictions for the 2023 football season. Three Week 4 matchups of the 2023 NFL season, the league’s 104th season, are featured here.

Check out the ESPN staff’s NFL Week 4 picks, predictions, and best bets below.

  • Browns (-3)
  • Buccaneers (+3)
  • Eagles (-9)

The Best NFL Betting Sites in 2023

1. $1000 Welcome Bonus For Sports

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer
2. 100% Up To $500 Welcome Bonus

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer
3. 100% Sign Up Bonus Up To $1000

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer Now
4. $750 Sports Betting Offer

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer
5. 50% Welcome Deposit Bonus Up To $1000

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer
6. 125% Sign Up Bonus + Up to 30 Risk Free Bets

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer Now
7. Double Your Money Twice Welcome Bonus

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer Now
8. 200% Welcome Bonus

18+, T&Cs Apply. Available in ALL US STATES

Claim Offer Now

ESPN NFL Week 4 Expert Picks and Predictions

On Friday, ESPN staff analysts offered their expert picks and predictions for three Week 4 matchups of the 2023 NFL season. All three matchups kick off at 1 p.m. ET. The first game is the Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns this Sunday. Next, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints. Finally, Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles.

Browns (-3)

Jamison Hensley believes the Cleveland Browns’ defense will once again be tested against the Baltimore Ravens. Although the Pittsburgh Steelers defeated the Browns 26-22 on Monday Night Football, Cleveland is more than capable of beating this particular AFC North rival.

“Jackson will be held without a touchdown. He has totaled more touchdowns against the Browns than any other team in his six-year career, throwing for 11 and running for four,” Hensley wrote. “But the Browns’ defense has given up only one touchdown this season and hasn’t allowed one in Cleveland.”

Note that Cleveland hasn’t allowed a TD in two home games this season and has outscored opponents 51-6 at home. The 2006 Broncos and 2000 Dolphins are the only teams this century to not allow a touchdown in their first three home games.

Walder has the Browns winning 24-17 over Baltimore.

Other NFL Week 4 expert picks are on the main page.

Bet on Browns (-3)

Buccaneers (+3)

Moreover, Jenna Laine offered great insight on why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers could upset the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. “Bucs linebackersLavonte DavidandShaquil Barrett will combine for 3.0 sacks, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery,” she wrote.

“David has 3.0 sacks and a forced fumble in the past three meetings against the Saints, and if right guard Cesar Ruizremains out with a concussion, it could create some opportunities for Todd Bowles’ interior blitzes.

“Barrett also had 2.0 sacks and a forced fumble the last time he saw the Saints in Week 2 last season, and they happened working against Saints tackles James Hurst and Ryan Ramczyk.”

However, Eric Moody disagrees with Laine’s prediction. Moody’s final score is 27-19, Saints.

Bet on Buccaneers (+3)

Eagles (-9)

John Keim is convinced that the Philadelphia Eagles will avoid an upset this week against the Washington Commanders. Will the Eagles win at home this time around? Last season, Washington handed Philly its first loss after an 8-0 start in Week 10, winning 32-21 at Lincoln Financial Field.

“Washington will sell out to stop the Eagles’ rushing attack — D’Andre Swift in particular. He has rushed for a combined 305 yards the past two weeks, but the Commanders will hold him to fewer than 100 yards,” he wrote.

“Washington has been boom or bust against the Eagles’ rushing attack in the past four meetings. The Commanders have held them to less than 118 rushing yards three times — but gave up 238 in the fourth meeting.

“The Commanders will use a lot of their five-man defensive fronts against arguably the best offensive line in football; the key will be how Philadelphia throws the ball.”

If the Eagles passing attack works, Walder has Philadelphia winning 27-7 against Washington.

For all of the Week 4 picks, go to ESPN.com. More NFL Week 4 expert picks are on the main page.

Bet on Eagles (-9)

NFL Betting Guides 2023

  • NFL Betting Guide – Discover Best NFL Betting Sites in USA Ranked & Reviewed.
  • NFL Betting Apps Guide – Compare the Best Apps for NFL Betting Ranked & Reviewed.
  • NFL Live Betting Guide – Check the Best NFL In Play Betting Sites.
  • Latest NFL Odds – Compare the Best Football Odds & Lines.
  • NFL Spread Odds Explained – Expert Guide on How to Win Football Spread Bets.
  • The NFL Totals Odds Explained – Expert Guide on How to Win Football Totals Bets.
  • NFL Futures Odds Explained – Free Expert Guide on How to Win Football Futures Bets.
  • NFL Moneyline Odds Explained – Expert Guide on How to win Football Moneyline Bets.
  • Free NFL Picks – Check Expert Football Picks & Predictions.
  • Free NFL Picks Against The Spread – Check Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread.

Add The Sports Daily to your Google News Feed!

ESPN NFL Week 4 Expert Picks & Predictions (2024)

FAQs

What is the most accurate NFL prediction site? ›

What is the best site for NFL predictions? Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions. Dimers gives 🏈 fans the tools, computer analysis and expert data to excel at NFL betting in 2024. Dimers Pro provides unlimited access to our site, so check out our NFL score predictions and best NFL bets today.

How often are NFL predictions correct? ›

Like at sports betting places or in TV broadcasts before the Superbowl, there's always "favorites" calculated on who will win. How accurate are these predictions and how do they calculate? There's the track record for 5 nfl reporters in a season. None of them predict games with better than 65% success rate.

Is ESPN prediction accurate? ›

We can see that on average, the ESPN projection model has an error of around 18–23 points which is about 18% over or under the actual score.

Which prediction site is the most accurate? ›

EaglePredict is the best football prediction site in the world with over 89.9% accuracy rate in our football betting tips.

Who has the most accurate fantasy football predictions? ›

Who are the best fantasy football predictors? The best fantasy football predictors are Draft Sharks. They've won multiple accuracy awards since 1999 – including the Multi-Year Projection Accuracy Award from Fantasy Pros. That's a competition that measures player prediction accuracy over 3 seasons.

What is the best predictive model for the NFL? ›

nfelo is a prediction model built on top of 538's Elo framework that uses unique dynamics about the NFL to improve prediction accuracy. It is one of the (if not the!) most accurate public models available on the internet.

How accurate is ESPN FPI predictions? ›

75% accuracy in picking a game winner isn't bad, but it isn't anything exceptional. You should be able to get around 50% if you pick the winner randomly, and some of the games, such as MSU vs. Troy, don't require much skill to pick.

Is Walter Picks reliable? ›

Overall this is the best reliable fantasy app out there. It is a good tool to use, but I would not recommend 100% relying on this app or any other source either. Depending on your team's needs, it creates values for players by the owner of the team.

How accurate is ESPN computer? ›

For context, ESPN's Matchup Predictor is based on a collective of analytics that is generated by AI. The predictor has an accuracy rate of 75% meaning it will not be 100% accurate but rather an educated prediction.

Where does ESPN get their odds? ›

“Millions of sports fans look to ESPN as a sports authority, and Caesars is honored to have been selected for having the best odds to serve those fans. “ Earlier this year Caesars Entertainment struck a similar deal with Turner Broadcasting.

What are the best sports prediction sites? ›

AI Sports Betting Prediction Site Comparison
RankAI Sports Betting Prediction SiteSports Covered
#1BetIdeasSoccer
#2Leans.AINFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, NCAAB
#3DeepBettingSoccer
#4Infinity Sports AINBA, MLB
1 more row
May 31, 2024

What is the most reliable football stats website? ›

  1. Fbref. Fbref is a website that collects statistics on football teams and players from around the world. ...
  2. Transfermarkt. Transfermarkt is the go-to site for researching player market values and transfer records. ...
  3. Squawka. ...
  4. WhoScored. ...
  5. Football-Data. ...
  6. Understat. ...
  7. SoccerStats. ...
  8. FootyStats.
May 1, 2024

What is the most accurate odds site? ›

OddsChecker is the world's leading odds comparison site and offers the most odds of any website that covers sports betting online. We compare odds for almost every major sport in the world.

What is the best paid football prediction site in the world? ›

MeritPredict is the best football prediction website in the world. Meritpredict makes it easier for punters and football bettors to win their games. we provide accurate football prediction for free to visitors to help them win their bets.

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Patricia Veum II

Last Updated:

Views: 5596

Rating: 4.3 / 5 (64 voted)

Reviews: 95% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Patricia Veum II

Birthday: 1994-12-16

Address: 2064 Little Summit, Goldieton, MS 97651-0862

Phone: +6873952696715

Job: Principal Officer

Hobby: Rafting, Cabaret, Candle making, Jigsaw puzzles, Inline skating, Magic, Graffiti

Introduction: My name is Patricia Veum II, I am a vast, combative, smiling, famous, inexpensive, zealous, sparkling person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.